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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
PhongLeXBTRN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)72% (262–100, n=362)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$134K$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #993PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus29% (2 of 7 open)54% (64 of 118 open)72% (73 of 101 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEconomy −1 pts, n=12——
Settled positions, side won74% of 306 at avg 42¢, ROI +17%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 61% of 89)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 71% of 80)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 82% of 129)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up3% (won 100% of 8)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketPhongLeXBTRN1BreakTheBank
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $12KCardinals $59K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $1.4KCardinals $3.0K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $228Magic $51K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $161Magic $13K