← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Prinas | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 79% (240–65, n=305) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 50% (986–968, n=1954) |
| Consensus PnL | $21K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 85% (52 of 61 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 93% of 335 at avg 80¢, ROI +12% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 20% of 5) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 5% (won 94% of 49) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 73% of 11) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 42% (won 99% of 382) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 84% of 31) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 49% (won 99% of 446) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 86% (won 95% of 288) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 42) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Prinas | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $199 | — | Yes $85K | — |