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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Qualitative | RN1 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (429–335, n=764) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $35K | $13.4M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (33 of 33 open) | 63% (29 of 46 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (72 of 98 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −3 pts, n=106 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 58% of 1126 at avg 55¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 23% (won 10% of 262) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 40% of 186) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 21% (won 66% of 239) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 90% of 439) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Qualitative | RN1 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.5K | — | — | No $184K |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $228 | — | Magic $51K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $161 | — | Magic $13K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $227 | — | — | Yes $4.7K |