← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Railcool | beachboy4 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (88–74, n=162) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $125K | $5.8M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #701 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (11 of 20 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 55% (6 of 11 open) | 85% (52 of 61 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 75% of 92 at avg 55¢, ROI +29% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 38% of 26) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 56% of 9) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 90% of 21) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 97% of 36) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Railcool | beachboy4 | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $3.8K | Commanders $188K |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $523 | — | — | No $112K |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $300 | — | — | Yes $81K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $61 | — | — | Yes $15K |