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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Reformedx | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (837–776, n=1613) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 48% (12778–13831, n=26609) |
| Consensus PnL | $17K | $5.8M | $4.4M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #903 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (8 of 14 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 61% (87 of 142 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 834 at avg 55¢, ROI +43% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 97% of 39) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 98% of 198) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 55% (won 99% of 462) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 16% (won 99% of 135) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Reformedx | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $979 | — | — | No $14K |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | Browns $2.0K | — | — | Steelers $91 |
| Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 44.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $1.8K | — | — | Over $1.3K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $2.0K | — | — | Over $446 |