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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Relaccsed | RN1 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (990–719, n=1709) | 47% (13860–15341, n=29201) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $10K | $13.4M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 45% (17 of 38 open) | 83% (5 of 6 open) | no open consensus position | 89% (146 of 164 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −2 pts, n=459 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 54% of 1195 at avg 54¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 32% (won 11% of 385) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 14% (won 37% of 166) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 57% of 156) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 41% (won 92% of 488) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Relaccsed | RN1 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2 | — | — | No $858K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $456 | — | — | No $29K |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $74 | — | — | No $25K |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $672 | — | — | Yes $83K |