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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Richidd | 00gringo00 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (52–54, n=106) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 48% (12984–14343, n=27327) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) |
| Consensus PnL | $37K | $3.5M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #217 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 87% (20 of 23 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 85% (50 of 59 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 68 at avg 58¢, ROI +31% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 60% of 5) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 79% of 14) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 90% of 31) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 26% (won 83% of 18) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Richidd | 00gringo00 | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $9 | — | — | No $117K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $18 | — | — | No $32K |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $19 | — | — | No $26K |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2 | — | — | Yes $280K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $564 | — | — | Yes $270K |