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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Rin2x | BreakTheBank | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 90% (2103–236, n=2339) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 62% (393–245, n=638) |
| Consensus PnL | $35K | $10.6M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #806 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (20 of 28 open) | 74% (72 of 97 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −4 pts, n=67 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 92% of 2116 at avg 92¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 13% of 30) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 36% of 33) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 50% of 54) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 94% (won 96% of 1999) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Rin2x | BreakTheBank | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $119 | No $184K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $18 | Yes $272K | — |