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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Ryxon21BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)71% (148–60, n=208)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$133K$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #461 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus74% (40 of 54 open)78% (42 of 54 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won91% of 297 at avg 77¢, ROI +10%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 46% of 24)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 78% of 32)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢7% (won 95% of 21)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up74% (won 97% of 220)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRyxon21BreakTheBank
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $50Yes $274K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $4.7KNo $202K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $25KYes $85K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $5.1KYes $38K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.1KYes $71K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $2.2KNo $35K