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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Siddhartha1BreakTheBank00gringo00primm
Record (consensus markets)55% (64–53, n=117)45% (526–640, n=1166)75% (6–2, n=8)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$363K$10.6M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #197PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus91% (10 of 11 open)74% (71 of 96 open)no open consensus position53% (9 of 17 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +49 pts n=25, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +44 pts n=32, ROI +47%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 62 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 85% of 53)0%5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢32% (won 100% of 20)36% (won 98% of 192)0%41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢60% (won 100% of 37)35% (won 99% of 187)100% (won 86% of 7)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up8% (won 100% of 5)20% (won 100% of 107)0%5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketSiddhartha1BreakTheBank00gringo00primm
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $465K—Broncos $6.8K
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $31KYes $39K——
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $22KNo $407K——
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15KYes $258K——
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $83KNo $40K——
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $195Yes $11K——