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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Siddhartha1 | beachboy4 | CORGII | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (64–53, n=117) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $363K | $5.8M | $4.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #197 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (14 of 16 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | 64% (21 of 33 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 62 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 100% of 20) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 37) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 8% (won 100% of 5) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Siddhartha1 | beachboy4 | CORGII | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bills (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | Bills $12K | — | — | Ravens $295 |
| Raiders vs. Jets same side · consensus Raiders | Raiders $12K | — | — | Raiders $5.8K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-5.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | Cardinals $1 | — | — | Cardinals $1.0K |