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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| StudyPrediction | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4359–3146, n=7505) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 62% (393–245, n=638) |
| Consensus PnL | $51K | $4.4M | $10.6M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #1000 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (27 of 36 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (72 of 99 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | MLB −4 pts, n=82 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 55% of 6575 at avg 51¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 13% of 1875) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 47% of 1468) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 65% of 1105) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 93% of 2127) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | StudyPrediction | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $189 | — | No $184K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $28 | — | No $40K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $11 | — | Yes $77K | — |