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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
TAIWANNUMBERONEsainttroplay00gringo00BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)56% (1232–959, n=2191)71% (10–4, n=14)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$569K$4.4M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #454was PM monthly #11was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus48% (12 of 25 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position74% (73 of 98 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won99% of 1191 at avg 60¢, ROI +39%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 98% of 55)0%0%10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 99% of 275)50% (won 100% of 5)0%36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 551)50% (won 100% of 5)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up26% (won 100% of 310)0%0%20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketTAIWANNUMBERONEsainttroplay00gringo00BreakTheBank
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Broncos $6.1K——Chiefs $465K
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.6K——No $747
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.7K——No $590
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $978——Yes $37K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $797——No $35K