← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| TRCM | beachboy4 | CORGII | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (1735–1218, n=2953) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $573K | $5.8M | $4.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #205 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 73% (16 of 22 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 1371 at avg 62¢, ROI +23% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 24% of 199) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 76% of 173) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 95% of 343) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 48% (won 99% of 656) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | TRCM | beachboy4 | CORGII | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bratislava 2: Jonas Forejtek vs Ryan Seggerman opposite sides · consensus Ryan Seggerman | Jonas Forejtek $10 | — | — | Ryan Seggerman $294 |
| Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl same side · consensus Liam Draxl | Liam Draxl $2 | — | — | Liam Draxl $5.2K |
| Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux same side · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui | Shunsuke Mitsui $5 | — | — | Shunsuke Mitsui $5 |