← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Tenebrus7 | 00gringo00 | beachboy4 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (2110–687, n=2797) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 50% (992–980, n=1972) |
| Consensus PnL | $128K | $3.5M | $5.8M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #841 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 87% (109 of 126 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Elections −4 pts, n=386 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 71% of 3186 at avg 70¢, ROI +1% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 7% of 541) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 5% (won 94% of 49) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 37% of 188) | 0% | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 42% (won 99% of 382) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 58% of 324) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 49% (won 99% of 446) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 67% (won 92% of 2133) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 5% (won 100% of 42) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Tenebrus7 | 00gringo00 | beachboy4 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $210 | — | Yes $68 | — |