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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| TheKinginYellow | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 68% (460–217, n=677) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $10K | $5.8M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (34 of 42 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 73% (72 of 99 open) |
| Strongest topics | |||
| Weakest topic | Politics −7 pts, n=129 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 69% of 1220 at avg 68¢, ROI +1% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 11% of 138) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 36% of 118) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 26% (won 63% of 321) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 53% (won 90% of 643) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | TheKinginYellow | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $448 | — | No $184K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $513 | — | Yes $272K |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $45 | — | Yes $258K |