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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
TigerofthehoodBreakTheBankRN100gringo00
Record (consensus markets)90% (125–14, n=139)45% (537–652, n=1189)48% (12984–14343, n=27327)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$269K$10.6M$13.4M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #536 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus100% (12 of 12 open)85% (52 of 61 open)50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicEconomy ±0 pts, n=12———
Settled positions, side won94% of 208 at avg 91¢, ROI +1%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 82% of 56)10% (won 57% of 2537)0%
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 33% of 6)36% (won 98% of 198)22% (won 94% of 5518)0%
Entries 50–70¢6% (won 75% of 12)35% (won 99% of 191)36% (won 99% of 8928)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up90% (won 98% of 188)19% (won 100% of 107)32% (won 100% of 7821)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketTigerofthehoodBreakTheBankRN100gringo00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $38KNo $202K——
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $111KYes $85K——
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $30KYes $34K——
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $4.0KNo $32K——