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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| UNIVERSEMVP | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 72% (48–19, n=67) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) |
| Consensus PnL | $35K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #237 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 85% (56 of 66 open) | 68% (13 of 19 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 93% of 74 at avg 69¢, ROI +11% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 0% of 3) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 75% of 4) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 32% (won 96% of 24) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 58% (won 100% of 43) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | UNIVERSEMVP | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $82K | Commanders $65 |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $32K | Commanders $125 |