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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
User7429CORGIIsainttroplayRN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (7526–5717, n=13243)62% (393–245, n=638)71% (10–4, n=14)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$56K$4.5M$4.4M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #689PM monthly #68was PM monthly #11PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus63% (12 of 19 open)0% (0 of 4 open)no open consensus position56% (81 of 145 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +37 pts n=95, ROI +34%
  • Soccer +26 pts n=1202, ROI +25%
  • Tennis +23 pts n=550, ROI +17%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won94% of 2843 at avg 70¢, ROI +20%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 58% of 104)9% (won 92% of 36)0%10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 85% of 485)56% (won 99% of 223)50% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 95% of 701)33% (won 100% of 133)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up55% (won 99% of 1553)2% (won 100% of 7)0%31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketUser7429CORGIIsainttroplayRN1
Ravens vs. Bills
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Ravens $3——Bills $28K
Spread: Lions (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vikings
Vikings $11——Lions $4.6K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $9——Under $2.2K
Spread: Bengals (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $11——Titans $1.6K
Spread: Raiders (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
Jets $2——Raiders $581
Vikings vs. Lions
same side · consensus Lions
Lions $106——Lions $29K
Raiders vs. Jets
same side · consensus Raiders
Jets $655——Jets $11K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $7——Cowboys $1.4K
Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 44.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2——Over $440