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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| User7429 | RN1 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (7526–5717, n=13243) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $56K | $13.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #689 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (10 of 17 open) | 58% (89 of 153 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 2843 at avg 70¢, ROI +20% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 58% of 104) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 85% of 485) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 95% of 701) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 55% (won 99% of 1553) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | User7429 | RN1 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens vs. Bills opposite sides · consensus Bills | Ravens $3 | Bills $22K | — |
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | Browns $308 | Steelers $6.0K | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $9 | Under $2.2K | — |
| Spread: Bengals (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Bengals | Bengals $11 | Titans $1.6K | — |
| Spread: Raiders (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $2 | Raiders $1 | — |
| Vikings vs. Lions same side · consensus Lions | Lions $75 | Lions $21K | — |
| Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 44.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $2 | Over $440 | — |