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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
User7429beachboy4RN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (7526–5717, n=13243)68% (43–20, n=63)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$56K$5.8M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #689was PM monthly #24PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus59% (10 of 17 open)100% (1 of 1 open)59% (91 of 155 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +37 pts n=95, ROI +34%
  • Soccer +26 pts n=1202, ROI +25%
  • Tennis +23 pts n=550, ROI +17%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won94% of 2843 at avg 70¢, ROI +20%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 58% of 104)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 85% of 485)29% (won 56% of 62)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 95% of 701)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up55% (won 99% of 1553)14% (won 86% of 29)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketUser7429beachboy4RN1
Ravens vs. Bills
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Ravens $3—Bills $22K
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
Browns $308—Steelers $6.0K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $9—Under $2.2K
Spread: Bengals (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $11—Titans $1.6K
Spread: Raiders (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
Jets $2—Raiders $581
Vikings vs. Lions
same side · consensus Lions
Lions $75—Lions $21K
Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 44.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2—Over $440