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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
User7429sainttroplayBreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)57% (7526–5717, n=13243)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (526–640, n=1166)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$56K$4.4M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #689was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus56% (9 of 16 open)no open consensus position72% (79 of 109 open)60% (21 of 35 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +37 pts n=95, ROI +34%
  • Soccer +26 pts n=1202, ROI +25%
  • Tennis +23 pts n=550, ROI +17%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won94% of 2843 at avg 70¢, ROI +20%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 58% of 104)0%10% (won 85% of 53)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 85% of 485)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 192)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 95% of 701)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 187)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up55% (won 99% of 1553)0%20% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketUser7429sainttroplayBreakTheBankprimm
Ravens vs. Bills
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Ravens $3—Bills $378KBills $395
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
Jets $655—Raiders $171KRaiders $5.8K
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Bills $51KRavens $696
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
——Raiders $24KJets $284
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Bills $2.1KRavens $376
Browns vs. Steelers
same side · consensus Steelers
Browns $308—Browns $255K—
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
——Cardinals $3.0KCardinals $1.1K
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
Cardinals $1——Cardinals $1.0K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $9——Over $8