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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
VeryLucky888BreakTheBankCORGII
Record (consensus markets)58% (26675–19314, n=45989)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$417K$10.6M$4.5M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #1PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus59% (101 of 170 open)71% (73 of 103 open)0% (0 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNBA −3 pts, n=1812——
Settled positions, side won53% of 17416 at avg 54¢, ROI 0%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 22% of 1978)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 43% of 5856)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 58% of 5819)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up22% (won 78% of 3763)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketVeryLucky888BreakTheBankCORGII
Ravens vs. Bills
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Ravens $2.9KBills $378K—
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
Jets $5.0KRaiders $104K—
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Cowboys $1.7KCardinals $35K—
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
Jets $450Raiders $17K—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus Cowboys
Cardinals $544Cardinals $59K—
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Bills $3.3KBills $51K—
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
Jaguars $2.6KJaguars $20K—
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Falcons $311Falcons $8.6K—