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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
VeryLucky888CORGII0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
Record (consensus markets)58% (26675–19314, n=45989)62% (393–245, n=638)56% (101–79, n=180)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$417K$4.5M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #68was PM monthly #373PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus59% (91 of 153 open)25% (1 of 4 open)no open consensus position67% (6 of 9 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNBA −3 pts, n=1812———
Settled positions, side won53% of 17416 at avg 54¢, ROI 0%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 22% of 1978)9% (won 92% of 36)7% (won 75% of 8)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 43% of 5856)56% (won 99% of 223)26% (won 93% of 29)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 58% of 5819)33% (won 100% of 133)42% (won 96% of 47)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up22% (won 78% of 3763)2% (won 100% of 7)24% (won 96% of 27)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketVeryLucky888CORGII0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
opposite sides · consensus Heroic
Heroic $461B8 $22K——
Spread: Rams (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Chargers $3.3K——Rams $1.0K
Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $229——Over $3.2K
Chargers vs. Rams
same side · consensus Chargers
Chargers $4.0K——Chargers $1.1K