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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Vetch | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (299–178, n=477) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 50% (986–968, n=1954) |
| Consensus PnL | $333K | $10.6M | $4.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #688 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (2 of 6 open) | 86% (54 of 63 open) | no open consensus position | 63% (5 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NFL −6 pts, n=19 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 68% of 445 at avg 60¢, ROI +18% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 27% of 55) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 56% of 98) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 30% (won 69% of 132) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 36% (won 89% of 160) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Vetch | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $44K | — | Eagles $1.3K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $550 | No $202K | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $188K | — | Commanders $3.9K |