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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
VetchCORGIIRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Record (consensus markets)63% (299–178, n=477)62% (393–245, n=638)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)56% (101–79, n=180)
Consensus PnL$333K$4.5M$13.4M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #688PM monthly #68PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #373
Sides with the consensus33% (2 of 6 open)25% (1 of 4 open)67% (22 of 33 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Esports +17 pts n=149, ROI +26%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=69, ROI +32%
  • NHL +8 pts n=31, ROI +16%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNFL −6 pts, n=19———
Settled positions, side won68% of 445 at avg 60¢, ROI +18%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 27% of 55)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 56% of 2534)7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 56% of 98)56% (won 99% of 223)22% (won 94% of 5497)26% (won 93% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢30% (won 69% of 132)33% (won 100% of 133)36% (won 99% of 8897)42% (won 96% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up36% (won 89% of 160)2% (won 100% of 7)31% (won 100% of 7736)24% (won 96% of 27)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketVetchCORGIIRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
opposite sides · consensus Heroic
Heroic $2.9KB8 $22K——
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
opposite sides · consensus TheMongolz
Legacy $3.1KTheMongolz $2.2K——
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B
same side · consensus Aurora Gaming
Liquid $101Liquid $11K——