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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
VilgefortzRN1CORGIIprimm
Record (consensus markets)77% (191–58, n=249)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)62% (393–245, n=638)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$368K$13.4M$4.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #782PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus88% (14 of 16 open)68% (17 of 25 open)25% (1 of 4 open)53% (9 of 17 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicPolitics −2 pts, n=63———
Settled positions, side won78% of 316 at avg 78¢, ROI +4%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 14% of 44)10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 44% of 16)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢6% (won 63% of 19)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up75% (won 94% of 237)31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketVilgefortzRN1CORGIIprimm
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Falcons
—Falcons $2.7K—Buccaneers $3.0K