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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
WordleAddictsainttroplayBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)59% (574–404, n=978)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$672K$4.4M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #317 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus76% (13 of 17 open)no open consensus position73% (72 of 99 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEsports −12 pts, n=45——
Settled positions, side won53% of 1140 at avg 50¢, ROI 0%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢34% (won 9% of 383)0%10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 44% of 151)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢18% (won 64% of 209)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up35% (won 94% of 397)0%20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketWordleAddictsainttroplayBreakTheBank
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $72K—Yes $37K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $36K—No $35K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $36K—No $40K
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $30K—No $590
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $12K—Yes $4.1K