← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| XAE12Archangel | RN1 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (363–229, n=592) | 48% (12899–14013, n=26912) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (537–647, n=1184) |
| Consensus PnL | $159K | $13.4M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 79% (22 of 28 open) | 67% (6 of 9 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (78 of 107 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Mentions −14 pts, n=25 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 83% of 958 at avg 81¢, ROI −5% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 5% of 119) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 43% of 37) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 72% of 36) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 80% (won 97% of 766) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | XAE12Archangel | RN1 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $950 | — | — | Yes $77K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $4.4K | — | — | No $35K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $18 | — | — | Yes $15K |