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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Xeny | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (409–349, n=758) | 45% (535–643, n=1178) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 50% (945–947, n=1892) |
| Consensus PnL | $86K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (15 of 18 open) | 72% (83 of 116 open) | no open consensus position | 45% (5 of 11 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Crypto −4 pts, n=27 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 43% of 975 at avg 39¢, ROI +1% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 49% (won 8% of 479) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 40% of 122) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 74% of 126) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 98% of 248) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Xeny | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.9K | Yes $77K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.4K | No $36K | — | — |