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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Zaratustra | beachboy4 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (320–199, n=519) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $65K | $5.8M | $4.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #706 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (25 of 29 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 73% (72 of 99 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||||
| Weakest topic | Crypto −1 pts, n=56 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 440 at avg 62¢, ROI +1% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 22% (won 5% of 97) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 41% of 39) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 64% of 75) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 52% (won 92% of 229) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Zaratustra | beachboy4 | CORGII | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $5.5K | — | — | Yes $37K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.8K | — | — | No $35K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.5K | — | — | Yes $169K |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $631 | — | — | Yes $38K |