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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| aenews2 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (1121–727, n=1848) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.4M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #117 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (20 of 61 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (72 of 98 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | Crypto −3 pts, n=49 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 65% of 1947 at avg 62¢, ROI +1% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 31% (won 9% of 596) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 53% of 112) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 68% of 143) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 56% (won 97% of 1096) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | aenews2 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $9.8K | — | Yes $38K |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $22K | — | No $24K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $30K | — | Yes $51K |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $513 | — | Yes $2.2K |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $85 | — | No $590 |