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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| akroll | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 40% (369–555, n=924) | no settled market | 46% (560–665, n=1225) | 65% (886–468, n=1354) |
| Consensus PnL | $121K | — | $11.2M | $4.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #110 | — | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #145 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (326 of 433 open) | no open consensus position | 48% (10 of 21 open) | 74% (34 of 46 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | not computed yet |
| |
| Weakest topic | Elections −3 pts, n=72 | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 394 at avg 46¢, ROI +7% | — | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 52% (won 1% of 205) | — | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 43% of 7) | — | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 53% of 15) | — | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 42% (won 96% of 167) | — | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | akroll | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.7K | — | Yes $16K | — |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.6K | — | Yes $15K | — |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.4K | — | Yes $3.6K | — |
| Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2026 AFC West? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $14 | — | — | Yes $258 |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | No $389 | — | No $482K | — |
| Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $1.8K | — | No $12K | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $1.6K | — | No $1.0K | — |