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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| anon122 | joseph00677 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (39–44, n=83) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 50% (1246–1260, n=2506) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) |
| Consensus PnL | -$5.0K | $3.3M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #998 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #48 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 62% (8 of 13 open) | 55% (53 of 97 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 82% of 39 at avg 54¢, ROI +29% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 21% (won 50% of 8) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 80% of 10) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 89% of 9) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 100% of 12) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | anon122 | joseph00677 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $3.3K | Over $1.9K |
| Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $4.6K | Over $142 |
| Spread: Saints (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | — | Saints $958 | Browns $2.8K |
| Spread: Saints (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | — | Saints $50 | Browns $3.5K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Colts | — | — | Colts $94 | Cowboys $1.7K |
| Browns vs. Saints same side · consensus Saints | — | — | Saints $11K | Saints $81K |
| Spread: Saints (-7.5) same side · consensus Browns | — | — | Saints $16 | Saints $1.4K |