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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| archaic | CORGII | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 88% (1305–177, n=1482) | 62% (393–246, n=639) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $168K | $4.5M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 91% (51 of 56 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | no open consensus position | 85% (56 of 66 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Mentions −1 pts, n=12 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 81% of 1743 at avg 79¢, ROI +1% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 16% (won 4% of 275) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 30% of 27) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 72% of 68) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 79% (won 98% of 1373) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | archaic | CORGII | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.9K | — | — | No $202K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.7K | — | — | Yes $85K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.4K | — | — | No $34K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $544 | — | — | Yes $170K |