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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| arcsine-barrister | RN1 | CORGII | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 62% (393–246, n=639) | 50% (986–968, n=1954) |
| Consensus PnL | $45K | $13.4M | $4.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #279 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 67% (8 of 12 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 43% (3 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 1 at avg 50¢, ROI +48% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 100% (won 100% of 1) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | arcsine-barrister | RN1 | CORGII | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Eagles (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Commanders $2.1K | — | Eagles $858 |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $664 | — | Under $1.5K |
| Spread: Commanders (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Commanders $1.5K | — | Eagles $3 |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $541 | — | Under $41 |
| Spread: Commanders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Commanders $23 | — | Eagles $412 |