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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
babybellsclassifiedkeeptheblueflagflyinghighWiretransferxyz
Record (consensus markets)87% (46–7, n=53)100% (1–0, n=1)42% (116–157, n=273)0% (0–1, n=1)
Consensus PnL$4.0K$2.8K$237K-$16K
Tracked asPM monthly #930PM monthly #337PM monthly #30PM monthly #214
Sides with the consensus77% (10 of 13 open)54% (7 of 13 open)53% (10 of 19 open)100% (3 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
Weakest topic—Elections −2 pts, n=101——
Settled positions, side won—51% of 334 at avg 49¢, ROI −2%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%59% of 495 at avg 53¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢—46% (won 4% of 152)6% (won 100% of 9)6% (won 17% of 29)
Entries 30–50¢—4% (won 47% of 15)42% (won 100% of 63)35% (won 46% of 171)
Entries 50–70¢—7% (won 78% of 23)40% (won 100% of 61)47% (won 66% of 233)
Entries 70¢ and up—43% (won 98% of 144)12% (won 100% of 18)13% (won 89% of 62)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbabybellsclassifiedkeeptheblueflagflyinghighWiretransferxyz
Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Nikolai Barsukov
opposite sides · consensus Marvin Moeller
Marvin Moeller $87—Nikolai Barsukov $1.2K—
Hersonissos 3: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Philip Henning
opposite sides · consensus Philip Henning
Philip Henning $52—Radu Mihai Papoe $349—
Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente
same side · consensus Daniel Rincon
Daniel Rincon $236—Daniel Rincon $15K—
Hersonissos 3: Andrej Nedic vs Michele Ribecai
same side · consensus Michele Ribecai
Michele Ribecai $197—Michele Ribecai $235—
Knoxville: Lui Maxted vs Hynek Barton
same side · consensus Hynek Barton
Lui Maxted $235—Lui Maxted $84—