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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| bands1 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (418–429, n=847) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 50% (1120–1127, n=2247) |
| Consensus PnL | -$402K | $7.3M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #386 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 47% (7 of 15 open) | 81% (22 of 27 open) | 41% (9 of 22 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | NBA −3 pts, n=156 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 50% of 844 at avg 51¢, ROI −2% | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 20% of 60) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 39% (won 46% of 329) | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 41% (won 99% of 418) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 44% (won 51% of 374) | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 49% (won 99% of 504) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 79% of 81) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | bands1 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Spurs (-17.5) same side · consensus Spurs | Kings $4.4K | Kings $134K | — |
| Spread: New Mexico (-9.5) same side · consensus New Mexico | Nevada $210 | — | Nevada $787 |