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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
bands1BreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)50% (435–436, n=871)41% (587–850, n=1437)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)50% (1151–1158, n=2309)
Consensus PnL-$385K$7.6M$3.7M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #354PM monthly #3PM monthly #13PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensus67% (10 of 15 open)88% (29 of 33 open)68% (244 of 359 open)71% (12 of 17 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNBA −2 pts, n=159—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won50% of 847 at avg 51¢, ROI −2%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 20% of 60)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢39% (won 47% of 331)36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢44% (won 51% of 375)35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up10% (won 79% of 81)20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbands1BreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hull City AFC
Hull City AFC $11K—Arsenal FC $614—
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3.4K—Yes $8.0K—
Spread: UCLA (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus UCLA
Minnesota $22——UCLA $585
Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee
same side · consensus Middle Tennessee
——Middle Tennessee $1.2KMiddle Tennessee $4.9K