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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| bands1 | BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (452–448, n=900) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 44% (11392–14477, n=25869) | 50% (1248–1260, n=2508) |
| Consensus PnL | -$324K | $7.7M | -$8.8M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #142 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #48 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (7 of 11 open) | 80% (43 of 54 open) | 66% (35 of 53 open) | 50% (5 of 10 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NBA −2 pts, n=159 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 50% of 847 at avg 51¢, ROI −2% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 20% of 60) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 39% (won 47% of 331) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 44% (won 51% of 375) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 79% of 81) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | bands1 | BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Packers vs. Patriots opposite sides · consensus Patriots | Patriots $14K | Packers $104K | Patriots $26K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Colts $6.3K | Colts $101K | Cowboys $412 | — |
| Cowboys vs. Colts opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Colts $59K | Cowboys $32K | Colts $5.7K |
| Texans vs. Chargers opposite sides · consensus Chargers | — | Chargers $294K | Texans $42K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Colts | — | Colts $179K | Cowboys $6.5K | — |
| Spread: Patriots (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Patriots | — | Packers $143K | Patriots $10K | — |
| Spread: Texans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Chargers | — | Chargers $100K | Texans $41K | — |
| Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $13K | Under $12K | — |
| Spread: Saints (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | — | Browns $3.8K | Saints $16 |
| Spread: Seahawks (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | — | Seahawks $89 | Cardinals $1.3K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cowboys $471 | Colts $76 |
| Cardinals vs. Seahawks same side · consensus Seahawks | — | Seahawks $124K | Seahawks $30K | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-9.5) same side · consensus Bulls | — | Bulls $103K | Bulls $8.9K | — |
| Raiders vs. 49ers same side · consensus 49ers | — | — | 49ers $29K | 49ers $63K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-5.5) same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $24K | Colts $10K | — |
| Browns vs. Saints same side · consensus Saints | Saints $872 | — | — | Saints $8.1K |
| Spread: Texans (-4.5) same side · consensus Chargers | — | Chargers $3.9K | Chargers $5 | — |