← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| bands1 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (449–450, n=899) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) |
| Consensus PnL | -$342K | $5.3M | $4.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #206 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #33 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (8 of 16 open) | no open consensus position | 74% (112 of 152 open) | 55% (33 of 60 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
|
|
| Weakest topic | NBA −2 pts, n=159 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 50% of 847 at avg 51¢, ROI −2% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 20% of 60) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 39% (won 47% of 331) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 44% (won 51% of 375) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 79% of 81) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | bands1 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bengals vs. Falcons: O/U 52.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $7.4K | — | — | Over $5.0K |
| Spread: Bengals (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Bengals | Bengals $9 | — | — | Falcons $1.6K |
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $115 | Yes $97 |
| Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $44 | — | Yes $22 | — |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | — | No $6.9K |
| Bengals vs. Falcons same side · consensus Bengals | Bengals $12K | — | — | Bengals $5.3K |