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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BiggggggggFlaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market42% (1399–1962, n=3361)52% (6417–5939, n=12356)66% (901–474, n=1375)
Consensus PnL—$559K$3.3M$4.5M
Tracked as—PM monthly #9PM monthly #21PM monthly #100
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position56% (123 of 218 open)73% (131 of 179 open)72% (109 of 151 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Economy −5 pts, n=109Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won—66% of 3822 at avg 64¢, ROI +1%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—30% (won 7% of 1163)29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢—5% (won 43% of 182)16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢—5% (won 68% of 179)17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up—60% (won 97% of 2298)38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BiggggggggFlaznorpndb1
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $9.9KYes $2.4K—
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $7.8KYes $107—
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2—No $171
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $9—Yes $61K
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $185No $2.2K—
Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?
same side · consensus No
—No $10—No $2.0K
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
—No $46—No $356