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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankFlaznorpLikaseent
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (546–663, n=1209)53% (5603–5047, n=10650)36% (164–297, n=461)
Consensus PnL—$11.2M$3.3M$113K
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #22PM monthly #114
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position68% (39 of 57 open)74% (124 of 167 open)58% (21 of 36 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Soccer ±0 pts, n=23
Settled positions, side won—97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%41% of 331 at avg 42¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 81% of 57)29% (won 11% of 423)56% (won 1% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 201)16% (won 40% of 243)2% (won 14% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 99% of 196)17% (won 62% of 255)3% (won 70% of 10)
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 100% of 109)38% (won 94% of 561)38% (won 98% of 127)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBankFlaznorpLikaseent
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $376K—No $132
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $20K—No $160
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
—No $55K—No $14K
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.5K—No $1.7K