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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4Hyperlongndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (216–245, n=461)65% (888–469, n=1357)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)
Consensus PnL—-$63K$4.2M$14.8M
Tracked as—was PM monthly #998PM monthly #146PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position65% (52 of 80 open)74% (35 of 47 open)64% (131 of 206 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Crypto −7 pts, n=83NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won—47% of 595 at avg 48¢, ROI −2%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—44% (won 2% of 260)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 34% of 38)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—8% (won 54% of 46)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—42% (won 93% of 251)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4Hyperlongndb1RN1
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——No $234KNo $6.5K
Will Illinois win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.2KNo $164—
Will Florida win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1KNo $206—
Will Erling Haaland score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
same side · consensus No
—No $315No $220—