← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | RN1 | S-Works | whig | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) | 75% (2546–856, n=3402) | 62% (417–254, n=671) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $14.8M | $3.7M | $354K |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #32 + pinned | PM monthly #73 | was PM monthly #927 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 63% (19 of 30 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) | 74% (45 of 61 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 | Finance −7 pts, n=26 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% | 47% of 632 at avg 40¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 6% (won 14% of 145) | 45% (won 13% of 282) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 16% (won 48% of 367) | 18% (won 43% of 111) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 23% (won 60% of 509) | 13% (won 80% of 81) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) | 25% (won 95% of 158) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | RN1 | S-Works | whig |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $1.2M | Yes $10K |