← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | cryingbabydicer87 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 47% (6701–7560, n=14261) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 48% (14139–15621, n=29760) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $19K | $3.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | — | was PM monthly #699 | PM monthly #106 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 87% (113 of 130 open) | 74% (81 of 110 open) | 59% (83 of 140 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | none with 10+ settled |
|
|
| Weakest topic | — | Crypto −2 pts, n=3902 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 51% of 4244 at avg 52¢, ROI 0% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 41% (won 8% of 1743) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 13% (won 39% of 571) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 8% (won 72% of 360) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 37% (won 96% of 1570) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | cryingbabydicer87 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $123 | No $485K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $19 | No $42K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $15 | No $31K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $28 | No $30K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $40 | No $29K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $20 | No $25K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $5 | No $20K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $2 | No $12K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $8 | No $678 | — |