← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | grinder1011 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 43% (101–136, n=237) | 66% (868–456, n=1324) | 47% (14023–15521, n=29544) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.9M | $5.4K | $4.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #748 | PM monthly #69 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 32% (19 of 59 open) | 73% (16 of 22 open) | 51% (43 of 84 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | Elections −10 pts, n=11 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 51% of 176 at avg 42¢, ROI +4% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 45% (won 11% of 80) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 13% (won 68% of 22) | 20% (won 39% of 252) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 13% (won 74% of 23) | 24% (won 57% of 306) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 29% (won 94% of 51) | 43% (won 93% of 540) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | grinder1011 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $390 | No $1.4M | — |