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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
biying99999BreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)48% (135–144, n=279)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)
Consensus PnL$12K$7.7M$4.1M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #444PM monthly #1PM monthly #16PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus25% (2 of 8 open)81% (29 of 36 open)76% (90 of 119 open)78% (7 of 9 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +52 pts n=61, ROI +52%
  • NFL +48 pts n=38, ROI +46%
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won100% of 113 at avg 50¢, ROI +49%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢54% (won 100% of 61)36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢44% (won 100% of 50)35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up2% (won 100% of 2)20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbiying99999BreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.3K—Over $19K
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $588—Under $1.7K—
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $287—Under $831—
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $678—Under $153—
Spread: Bears (-6.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
—Bears $12K—Bears $5.4K
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $71—No $16K—
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $425—Over $808—