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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| black-rabbit | BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (434–390, n=824) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 43% (11779–15353, n=27132) | 55% (13333–10716, n=24049) |
| Consensus PnL | $415K | $8.4M | -$9.5M | $1.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #718 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #14 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 91% (31 of 34 open) | 56% (5 of 9 open) | 64% (100 of 157 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NFL −24 pts, n=12 |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 712 at avg 51¢, ROI +9% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 4% of 197) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 30% (won 9% of 919) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 24% of 119) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 15% (won 37% of 455) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 86% of 168) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 14% (won 63% of 439) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 99% of 228) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 42% (won 94% of 1302) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | black-rabbit | BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris | — | — | Liam Broady $2.0K | Billy Harris $1.7K |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $146 | Yes $2.8K |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | — | — | Cavaliers $1.5K | Hornets $169 |
| Bills vs. Vikings same side · consensus Bills | — | Bills $15K | — | Bills $77 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.2K | Under $12K |
| Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $5.8K | Over $88 |