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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| boyau | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (169–244, n=413) | 52% (6569–6087, n=12656) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 47% (14161–15670, n=29831) |
| Consensus PnL | $802K | $3.6M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #371 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #90 | PM monthly #32 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (24 of 29 open) | 72% (97 of 135 open) | 72% (53 of 74 open) | 60% (46 of 77 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 37% of 411 at avg 31¢, ROI +1% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 59% (won 10% of 242) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 59% of 61) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 74% of 54) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 13% (won 100% of 54) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
18 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | boyau | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.4K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Spread: Suns (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | Suns $4.3K | — | Magic $644 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $586 | — | Over $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Spread: Suns (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | Magic $2.2K | — | Suns $835 |
| Spread: Suns (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | Magic $1.7K | — | Suns $1.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Spread: Magic (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | Magic $1.2K | — | Suns $1.1K |
| Spread: Suns (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | Magic $377 | — | Suns $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $476 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $466 | — | No $529 |
| W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz | — | Diletta Cherubini $281 | — | Ipek Oz $698 |
| Spread: Magic (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | Magic $18 | — | Suns $236 |
| W35 Hamamatsu: Kanon Sawashiro vs Mio Mushika opposite sides · consensus Kanon Sawashiro | — | Mio Mushika $2 | — | Kanon Sawashiro $48 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $69K | — | No $29K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $6.0K | — | No $42K | — |
| UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic same side · consensus Florida Atlantic | — | Florida Atlantic $157 | — | Florida Atlantic $21K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.5K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $15K | — | No $678 | — |
| Spread: Suns (-7.5) same side · consensus Suns | — | Magic $2.7K | — | Magic $376 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K |
| W100 Incheon: Katie Swan vs Xinxin Yao same side · consensus Katie Swan | — | Katie Swan $743 | — | Katie Swan $1.1K |
| Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $502 | — | Under $338 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | — | Under $20 |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) same side · consensus Suns | — | Suns $414 | — | Suns $258 |
| Spread: Warriors (-2.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | Heat $468 | — | Heat $110 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $139 | — | Yes $192 |
| Spread: Suns (-4.5) same side · consensus Suns | — | Magic $104 | — | Magic $180 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Spread: Warriors (-8.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | Warriors $135 | — | Warriors $87 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $176 | — | Under $42 |
| W100 Incheon: Han Shi vs Berfu Cengiz same side · consensus Han Shi | — | Han Shi $11 | — | Han Shi $185 |